Reducing Men’s College Basketball Transfer Rate
While recruiting costs for men’s Division I college basketball have increased 37% over the past several years, 44% of the recruits transferred after their first year. Let’s be honest, choosing the right college program places enormous pressure on a teenage student-athlete. Most of us as adults have taken on a role at a company or organization only to realize later that we are not a good fit.
But, something seems a little off here. There are many factors that influence the decision to transfer. Some of these factors, such as a coaching change or the need to be closer to home due to a family issue, are not always predictable. But other reasons can be avoided if coaches and recruits had better information.
Perhaps if the results of these transfers were beneficial, we could justify them. So, what are the results of the high transfer rate? A quantitative analysis of the college basketball transfer rate can be found in a recent article by Eli Boettger. Boettger notes, “The idea that college basketball players tend to transfer to better teams is almost entirely a myth.” He also states, “ In simple terms, there is almost no correlation between the amount of players lost or gained via transfer and team strength whatsoever.”
Can we reduce the transfer rate and help college programs and recruits find the right fit on the first try? We believe the answer is yes. By using scoutSMART’s predictive analytics, coaches find the recruits that best fit their program. Student-athletes also receive a fitSCORE that tells them where they will succeed based on their preferences. Let’s reduce the cost of recruiting and the transfer rate. This time, money and energy can be focused on winning.